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Clipped by Sam Stamper
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Wednesday, 26 October 2011
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Continued HARP 2.0 Chatter; Uh-oh...Now Genworth? Basel III RumblingsMobile homes: personal or real property? This may shed some light on the issue. First RMIC, then PMI, now...Genworth? And at some point even the other MI companies would agree that we don't need one less company writing policies. The hype from Monday's HARP 2.0 announcement about making it easier for credit-impaired borrowers to refinance might give the impression that it will filter through into the economy and the housing market. It is a good step, but in a conference call from Credit Suisse, analysts pointed out "this is not a game changer" to housing or the economy. They estimate 720k borrowers will be able to refinance which translates to between $2 and $3 billion in interest savings; so not much impact to the economy or housing. But many investors are focused on HARP 2.0's reps and warrants information. The biggest surprise may have been that Fannie and Freddie will waive their rights to demand refunds from lenders after flawed loan underwriting in many cases. FHFA Acting Director Edward DeMarco told reporters the companies would offer "substantial" relief from buyback demands when HARP is used without providing "blanket or absolute" waivers, except for fraud. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac also will remove ceilings on the permitted difference between loan amounts and property values and reduce or eliminate certain upfront fees charged for weaker credits, the FHFA said. The mortgage-finance companies will also nix appraisals in more instances and require on-time payments only over the prior six months, rather than as long as one year. Look for specifics by 11/15. But along the lines of refinance, with tight credit and even tighter conduits, what production are loan agents focusing on? Human nature dictates the loans that will be easiest to close - the low hanging fruit. This means the freshest, cleanest files, which at this time in mortgage banking means recent production (borrowers and properties that already passed muster). Analysts are also seeing most of the prepayments coming from the largest loans to borrowers with the highest FICOs and lowest LTV's, and many from 2010 and 2011. Mortgage traders have recently seen a lot of 3.5 coupon production (3.75-4.125% mortgage rates) from originators in the last few weeks. As one trader noted, "The 3.875% note rate isn't competing with the lender down the road; it's competing with the loan you refi'd the borrower into last year." Traders also report a big pickup in originations of 15- and 10-year mortgages. That signals a potential pick-up in 15-yr mortgage prepayments: who else takes out a 10-year loan but a 15-year refi? How was volume in the 3rd quarter? The big four banks combined to write $175.4 billion in new mortgages during the three months ended Sept. 30. That is 24% lower than what these lenders wrote a year earlier. Wells Fargo originated $89 billion in new mortgages, down 12% from the $101 billion last year. JPMorgan Chase originated $36.8 billion in new residential loans, down 10% from the $40.9 billion in the third quarter of last year. BofA came in #3, originating $33 billion mortgages in the third quarter, a 54% decline from $71.9 billion a year earlier. (Las Vegas odds makers don't have BofA moving up in the pack this quarter.) And Citigroup wrote $17 billion in mortgages during the quarter, down 8.5% from the $18.6 billion. Basel numbers, even though they may not take affect for many years, are a concern to mortgage servicers/banks. Here's a "fun fact": Six of the 27 countries that set global banking regulations still have not fully implemented the Basel II reforms agreed in 2004, and only 11 of the 27 have drafted rules to enact the tougher Basel III standards that are supposed to replace them. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision writes the rules. The risk-based structure of Basel II remains an essential part of the stricter Basel III framework, which includes higher capital requirements and the first global liquidity rules. The Basel II report card found that Argentina has made no effort to implement the agreement at all, and five more were still in the process of implementation. As for Basel III, 11 countries have written drafts, but nine of them are members of the EU, which introduced a bloc-wide version in July. Five more countries hope to have drafts completed by the end of the year, including the US and Switzerland. The rest, including Russia, Japan and India, will take longer. And focusing on Switzerland, the Swiss finance ministry submitted amendments to national capital rules for banks to bring them into line with the Basel III international framework aimed at protecting the industry from future financial crises. Per the article in Reuters, the greatest impact would be on UBS and Credit Suisse: the new rules will force the two big banks to hold equity Tier 1 capital of at least 10 percent, compared with 7 percent under the Basel III industry rules. Regarding the bill on mortgage underwriting based on energy standards under consideration, R.W. with Aurora Bank writes, "Regarding, the Sensible Accounting to Value Energy (SAVE) Act they might look to the "wildly unsuccessful" Energy Efficient Mortgages from FHA and FN, FH. There were probably 2 done before Fannie pulled their program:http://www.energystar.gov/index.cfm?c=mortgages.energy_efficient_mortgages With an eye on the new HARP plan, Wells Fargo wholesale sent a note to brokers saying, "Wells Fargo will be working as quickly as possible to have the changes in place and available to borrowers. However, we will not be able to determine when we will be able to offer the program enhancements until we receive the specific program guidelines - expected in mid-November - and have the chance to interpret them and make the appropriate process and potential systems changes. Only borrowers with a loan sold to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac before May 31, 2009 are eligible to refinance through HARP. In addition, borrowers who already have refinanced through HARP are not eligible to refinance through the program again. Fannie and Freddie plan to send the program guidelines required to offer this program to all lenders in mid-November. When we receive them, we will work quickly to make the changes required to support the implementation, including any potential changes to our systems in order to offer the program to customers as soon as possible."
In "ol' Virginnie," Hampton Roads based TowneBank announced that Benchmark Mortgage (Richmond) will affiliate with TowneBank Mortgage, a division of TowneBank. Benchmark has branches in Virginia and North Carolina; apparently the name will go away and it will become TowneBank Mortgage. I wish them well. Yesterday we learned that the FHFA's House Price Index declined 0.1% in August from July which was revised downward to unchanged from an originally reported +0.8% increase. But the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index recorded an increase of 0.2% in August for both the 10- and 20-City Composites. Year over year, prices were down 3.5% and 3.8%, respectively. The difference can be found not only in the period the two indices are examining, but also the subject group: the FHFA index calculates prices paid to purchase houses that are backed by mortgages sold to or guaranteed by Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae. Why does "the market" seem surprised when news comes out that Europe isn't going to solve its financial problems overnight? Yesterday it seemed that way in the stock markets, and bonds did well. Bonds were also helped by an unexpected 6.6 point decline in Consumer Confidence to its weakest reading since March 2009. 10-year notes improved by nearly a point, and dropped to a yield of 2.13%. Mortgage prices calmed down after Monday's kneejerk reaction to the HARP 2.0 information. Mortgage banker selling was limited at around $1+ billion, consisting mostly of 4.0% coupons - and remember that the Fed is buying about $1 billion a day. Agency MBS prices rallied about .5. How about the market du jour? We already saw the MBA application numbers for last week, which cover 75% of the retail market. Apps were up 4.9%, with refi's up 4.4% and purchases up 6.4%. Refi's still make up about 77% of the market, and with HARP 2.0 heading into 2012, this might not change much. We'll also have Durable Goods for September, and at 7AM PST we'll have New Home Sales, expected to drop (shouldn't we be selling some of the old homes still on the market rather than new ones?), and a $35 billion 5-yr note auction in the late morning. So far rates are down from Tuesday, with the 10-yr at 2.15% and MBS prices down. |
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Last Updated ( Thursday, 27 October 2011 )
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Clipped by Sam Stamper
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Tuesday, 25 October 2011
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Mortgage refinancing to get easier under revised U.S. programThe Obama administration is launching yet another high-profile campaign to shore up the housing market -- and with it, the economy -- by making it easier for some struggling homeowners to refinance underwater mortgage loans at today's ultra-low interest rates. The federal government's new rules will encourage borrowers to secure new loans no matter how much value their homes have lost during the nation's housing crisis, with the hitch that they can't have missed any mortgage payments for the last six months. The plan could help 1 million to 2 million people get significantly lower monthly payments in hopes of stabilizing the real estate market. On top of that, it would boost the economy by putting about $2,500 more in a typical homeowner's pocket each year, administration officials said. But given the huge problems that continue to plague the real estate market, the plan is less a solution to the foreclosure crisis than a firebreak to try to prevent things from getting worse, analysts said. In particular, the program won't help the 3.5 million borrowers who are seriously delinquent on their loans or are already in default. "It's a step forward, but what we need is a leap forward," said John Taylor, president of the National Community Reinvestment Coalition, an association of organizations that promote access to affordable housing. The Obama administration has struggled to find a fix for the housing crisis. A program to lure banks to permanently modify mortgages has fallen so far short of its goals that Republicans have pushed to kill it. And the refinancing program, designed to help millions of homeowners, has been revised several times in hopes of making it more effective. Separately, Federal Reserve officials have hinted in recent days that they could launch another program to buy up mortgage-backed bonds in an effort to pull home loan rates lower. "They keep trying to find something that's going to work and so far they haven't found the silver bullet. Arguably there's no silver bullet," Bert Ely, an independent banking analyst, said of the Obama administration's attempts to help the housing market. "More moderate approaches haven't worked, so now they're trying something that frankly is more radical," he said. The plan could help borrowers such as James Perry, 36, an editor for a television show who owns two properties that are underwater, meaning he owes more on the mortgages than the homes are worth. Perry bought a condominium in Santa Monica in 2005, near the height of the market, and rented it out after he couldn't sell it. Its value has dropped about 6%, he said. He owns a larger home in Tarzana for his growing family, and its value has plunged nearly 20%. Refinancing both properties could save him about $400 a month, Perry said. "I am not a rich guy, so $400 a month will help," he said. "I have two kids. I would like to put that toward some college savings, and it would just make for a little more breathing room. We are not in any sort of trouble, but an extra $400 a month will obviously make us happier." Perry said he tried refinancing the Santa Monica home about a year ago, paying about $500 for the appraisal, but the home's value didn't allow him to qualify for a low rate. Given that experience, he didn't bother trying to refinance the Tarzana home. The plan announced Monday amounts to a sweeping overhaul of the 2½-year-old Home Affordable Refinance Program, easing rules and reducing fees to allow many more homeowners potentially to take advantage of historically low mortgage rates. Through August, the program had helped 894,000 homeowners refinance. The revisions include lifting a ceiling that barred participation by borrowers who owed more than 125% of the value of their homes, and using a controversial modeling method to replace costly appraisals that are among the fees that have kept some homeowners from refinancing. "These are important steps that will help more homeowners refinance at lower rates, save consumers money and help get folks spending again," President Obama said in touting the changes during an appearance in Las Vegas on Monday. Nevada, California and Florida are among the states hit hardest by the subprime housing bubble crash. About 14.6 million mortgages nationwide were underwater at the end of the first quarter, about 29% of the nearly 51 million residential mortgages nationwide, according to Moody's Analytics and Equifax. The rate was higher in California, where about 2.1 million mortgages are underwater, a third of the state's 6.3 million mortgages. Perry's refinancing problems were typical, mortgage experts said. Even though HARP allows underwater homes to qualify, banks usually won't refinance a loan in which the borrower owed more than 105% of the value. |
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Last Updated ( Thursday, 27 October 2011 )
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Clipped by Sam Stamper
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Monday, 24 October 2011
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Mortgage Rates for 10-24-2011 | | | DESCRIPTION | RATE | POINTS | APR | | Agency Conforming 15 Yr Fixed | 2.875 | 2.000 | 3.312 | | Agency Conforming 15 Yr Fixed | 3.25 | 0.000 | 3.407 | | Agency Conforming 15 Yr Fixed | 3.5 | Free Closer | 3.5 | | Agency Conforming 30 Yr Fixed | 3.5 | 2.000 | 3.747 | | Agency Conforming 30 Yr Fixed | 3.75 | 0.750 | 3.901 | | Agency Conforming 30 Yr Fixed | 3.875 | 0.000 | 3.966 | | Agency Conforming 30 Yr Fixed | 4.25 | Free Closer | 4.25 | | Agency Conforming Refi-Plus 15 Yr Fixed | 2.875 | 2.000 | 3.312 | | Agency Conforming Refi-Plus 15 Yr Fixed | 3.25 | 0.000 | 3.407 | | Agency Conforming Refi-Plus 15 Yr Fixed | 3.5 | Free Closer | 3.5 | | Agency Conforming Refi-Plus 30 Yr Fixed | 3.5 | 2.000 | 3.747 | | Agency Conforming Refi-Plus 30 Yr Fixed | 3.75 | 0.750 | 3.901 | | Agency Conforming Refi-Plus 30 Yr Fixed | 3.875 | 0.000 | 3.966 | | Agency Conforming Refi-Plus 30 Yr Fixed | 4.25 | Free Closer | 4.25 | | Agency Jumbo 15 Yr Fixed | 3.25 | 0.750 | 3.492 | | Agency Jumbo 15 Yr Fixed | 3.375 | 0.000 | 3.51 | | Agency Jumbo 15 Yr Fixed | 3.75 | Free Closer | 3.75 | | Agency Jumbo 15 Yr Fixed | 5.0 | 0.625 | 5.242 | | Agency Jumbo 15 Yr Fixed | 5.125 | 0.250 | 5.312 | | Agency Jumbo 30 Yr Fixed | 3.75 | 2.750 | 4.049 | | Agency Jumbo 30 Yr Fixed | 3.875 | 1.500 | 4.075 | | Agency Jumbo 30 Yr Fixed | 4.0 | 0.750 | 4.14 | | Agency Jumbo 30 Yr Fixed | 4.125 | 0.000 | 4.204 | | Agency Jumbo 30 Yr Fixed | 4.375 | Free Closer | 4.375 | | Agency Jumbo Refi-Plus 15 Yr Fixed | 3.25 | 0.750 | 3.492 | | Agency Jumbo Refi-Plus 15 Yr Fixed | 3.375 | 0.000 | 3.51 | | Agency Jumbo Refi-Plus 15 Yr Fixed | 3.75 | Free Closer | 3.75 | | Agency Jumbo Refi-Plus 15 Yr Fixed | 5.0 | 0.625 | 5.242 | | Agency Jumbo Refi-Plus 15 Yr Fixed | 5.125 | 0.250 | 5.312 | | Agency Jumbo Refi-Plus 30 Yr Fixed | 3.75 | 2.750 | 4.049 | | Agency Jumbo Refi-Plus 30 Yr Fixed | 3.875 | 1.500 | 4.075 | | Agency Jumbo Refi-Plus 30 Yr Fixed | 4.0 | 0.750 | 4.14 | | Agency Jumbo Refi-Plus 30 Yr Fixed | 4.125 | 0.000 | 4.204 | | Agency Jumbo Refi-Plus 30 Yr Fixed | 4.375 | Free Closer | 4.375 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Last Updated ( Thursday, 27 October 2011 )
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Clipped by Sam Stamper
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Monday, 24 October 2011
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New York Federal Reserve President calls for housing aidBy Annalyn Censky Speaking at Fordham University Monday, New York Fed President William Dudley called on lawmakers to support the troubled housing market. NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- A top Federal Reserve official is pushing for an "urgent effort" to prop up the housing market, and support the overall U.S. economy. Speaking at Fordham University Monday, New York Fed President William Dudley called for policymakers to make it easier for homeowners to refinance at lower mortgage rates and prop up home prices. "If prospective homeowners no longer fear that prices could decline further they will be more willing to enter the market to take advantage of reduced prices and lower financing costs, and existing homeowners will feel more confident about increasing their spending," he said. "A vicious cycle could be replaced by a virtuous one, in which stabilization in house prices supports spending, growth and jobs." Dudley described the problems in the housing sector as one of the greatest challenges still facing U.S. economic growth. Amid lower home prices, homeowners are spending less, he said. Meanwhile, tough credit standards and the large supply offoreclosed homes (which threaten a further decline in prices) are discouraging would-be buyers from entering the market. On Monday, the government unveiled a plan to help struggling homeowners. The new rules will allow homeowners who owe more than 125% of the market value of their homes to get new loans. Dudley's comments are the latest in a campaign by several of his Fed colleagues, pushing for more economic aid from the Fed. Last Thursday, Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo outright called for the Fed to purchase more mortgage-backed securities as a way to bring mortgage rates even lower and prop up the housing market. And on Friday, Janet Yellen, second in command to Fed chairman Ben Bernanke, said another round of asset purchases could be necessary to boost U.S. economic growth. Since the recession, the Fed has launched two rounds of asset purchases known as quantitative easing and QE2. Most recently, the Fed initiated a program called Operation Twist, which shifts its balance sheet from short-term to longer-term bonds in an effort to lower long-term interest rates. On Monday, Dudley did not advocate for another such program, but he did say it could be a possibility. "Depending on how the world evolves, we could potentially do more in that direction" he said. He reiterated strong calls from the Fed, for lawmakers in Washington to quickly find a solution to the country's long-term debt problems. "Our nation needs to get its public finances in order," he said, noting that states and local governments are likely to continue cutting jobs and spending as federal aid to states peters out. He also urged lawmakers to avoid making excessive short-term cuts or increasing taxes, both of which he said could harm the recovery. |
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Last Updated ( Thursday, 27 October 2011 )
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USA Home Loan Refinancing Program |
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Clipped by Sam Stamper
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Monday, 24 October 2011
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USA Home Loan Refinancing ProgramThe Obama administration and a US housing regulator Monday unveiled a revamped home-loan refinancing program, designed to aid hundreds of thousands of Americans whose homes have fallen in value in the wake of the housing bust. The plan is the latest federal effort to tackle a Key impediment to the US economy, a stagnant housing market caused in the main by elevated numbers of homeowners who owe more than their homes are worth. It came after several Obama administration efforts to stabilize the housing market failed in an economy with stubbornly high unemployment. The overhaul will let borrowers refinance their mortgages regardless of how far their home prices have plunged in any given market, eliminating a previous restriction that shut out homeowners who owed more than 125% of their homes’ current value. While some experts and Democrats had called for a more far-reaching refinancing program, administration officials said they aimed to do what was practical without passing legislation through a divided US Congress. “Any mortgage is a contract, and the government cannot come in and override contracts and force refinancing of every mortgage,” said Housing and Urban Development Secretary Shaun Donovan. “What we have done is to take the steps that we can take today.” Officials estimated that the changes will help families save $2,500 or more, on average, annually. “It’s the equivalent of a substantial tax cut for these families,” Mr. Donovan said. The plan is designed to streamline the refinancing process by eliminating appraisals and extensive underwriting requirements for most borrowers, as long as homeowners are current on their mortgage payments. The refinancing program is open to homeowners whose mortgages are owned or guaranteed by Fannie Mae (OB:FNMA) or Freddie Mac (OB:FMCC), the 2 government- controlled mortgage Giants whose rescue 3 yrs ago has cost taxpayers US$141-B to date. Regulators are revamping a program rolled out in Y 2009, the Home Affordable Refinance Program, or HARP, which lets borrowers with homes whose values have dropped to refinance. So far, only 894,000 borrowers have used it, of which just 70,000 are significantly underwater. The FHFA said the changes could at least double the number of homeowners enrolled. Analysts at Barclays Capital, however, estimated that between 1.9 and 3.1 million homeowners could be eligible for help. Officials said they are trying to encourage Americans to shorten the terms of their mortgages, by replacing 30-yr fixed-rate mortgages with shorter 15 or 20-yr terms in which the principal is paid off faster. Fannie, Freddie and the Federal Housing Finance Agency have agreed to waive fees for borrowers who refinance into loans with shorter terms, such as a 15 yr mortgage. They will also reduce fees, but not eliminate them entirely, for everyone else. Edward DeMarco, acting director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, said that, by moving to shorter loans, borrowers can regain equity in their homes. ” Americans all across the country have been doing this calculus for a number of months now,” he said. The program could open up refinancing to borrowers in Nevada, Arizona, Florida and California who are paying above-market interest rates and who are deeply ” underwater,” owing more than their houses are worth. Refinanced loans for those deeply underwater borrowers cannot be sold into traditional pools of mortgage-backed securities issued by Fannie and Freddie. Officials will take time to develop a way to sell these bonds, which is not likely to happen until early next year. Mr. DeMarco said investors in mortgage-backed securities sold by Fannie and Freddie are likely to be interested in bonds containing those loans. President Barack Obama is expected to present the program in Las Vegas later Monday. Speaking to reporters Monday, Gene Sperling, director of the National Economic Council, said the White House considered moving the changes as legislation but decided to work in concert with the regulator and the mortgage industry to launch the program. The HARP program will be extended through Y 2013, beyond its current expiration date of June 2012. The program is limited to loans that Fannie and Freddie guaranteed before June 2009. Loans that have been refinanced in the past 2.5 yrs, including those through HARP, are not eligible to refinance under the program. Under changes announced Monday, banks will be shielded from the risk that they will have to buy back HARP mortgages. They only will have to verify that borrowers have made their last 6 payments, have no more than 1 missed payment in the last year and have a job or another source of income. Fannie and Freddie will issue final pricing information and other technical details by November 15, and some banks have said they could begin taking applications under the new program by as soon as December 1. Mortgage insurers have also agreed to make it much easier to transfer existing mortgage-insurance coverage, which has blocked many borrowers from refinancing. |
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Last Updated ( Thursday, 27 October 2011 )
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